RBA Leaves Rates On Hold

interest rates thumb RBA Leaves Rates On HoldThe board of the Reserve Bank of Australia has left the official cash rate at 4.25 percent for the second month in a row.

The move was widely expected with inflation at the bottom of the RBA’s target band of 2-3 percent and global economic conditions improving.

However, the news may not be met with the rapturous receptions of the past with many lenders now lifting their rates independently of the RBA.

"The rates that borrowers pay have been creeping away from the Reserve Bank’s cash rate movements since the global financial crisis," RateCity CEO Damian Smith said.

"Last month proves that all variable rate mortgage holders are vulnerable to rate hikes, regardless of what the RBA does."

The central bank left rates on hold last month but that didn’t stop the big four, ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, NAB and Westpac from lifting their standard variable mortgage rates between 0.06 and 0.10 percent.

Westpac-owned St George went even further by hiking their rates by 0.12 percent.

The RBA was expected to ease rates last month but shocked observers when it left the rate unchanged, citing the resilient domestic economy and improved global outlook.

The decision not to move rates suggested the RBA had confidence in the local economy, buoyed by low unemployment and continued demand for labour.

However, the new dynamic the banks have set up by raising rates independently of the RBA mean borrowers could be hit by a rate rise at any time.

"Borrowers should expect frequent small changes in rates, perhaps as often as every month," Mr Smith said.

Source: www.ninemsn.com.au

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NSW housing pushes ahead while other markets remain soft

Housing dollar thumb NSW housing pushes ahead while other markets remain soft

 

The preliminary capital city dwelling value index result for December was -0.2% (s.a.) following an upwardly revised +0.4% rise in dwelling values in November (was +0.1%). Revised regional house values for November increased from +0.3% to +0.5%. Sydney housing has been the nation’s best performer with dwelling values up 0.4% in December and by 0.7% over the quarter (s.a.).

In the generally seasonally weak month of December, the preliminary RP Data-Rismark Home Value Index result for capital city dwelling values was -0.2 per cent (s.a.). Low sales volumes in December mean that this number will likely see a more significant revision than normal.

The November result from the RP Data-Rismark index for dwellings in capital cities has revised up from +0.1 per cent (s.a.) to +0.4 per cent (s.a.) based on additional sales information. This marks the largest month-on-month improvement in Australian home values since May 2010.

The RP Data-Rismark ‘rest-of-state’ index, which covers Australia’s regional markets, has also revised up in November from +0.3 per cent to +0.5 per cent (s.a.). This is the most significant increase in regional house values since November 2010.

Over the December quarter, Australia’s capital city home values declined by -0.5 per cent (s.a.).

RP Data’s director of research Tim Lawless, said, “The December quarter was the year’s smallest quarterly decline. According to our index, capital city home values fell by -1.5 per cent (s.a.) in the March quarter, and by a further -0.8 per cent (s.a.) in each of the June and September quarters. This rate of decline had decelerated to -0.5% by the final quarter of 2011.”

In 2011, Australian capital city dwelling values experienced a capital loss of about three and a half per cent. Regional house values fared a little better, correcting by around three per cent. This compared to the 14-15 per cent decline in Australian shares. Adding in rents, the gross total return to Australian property investors was slightly less than one per cent over 2011.

Rismark’s managing director Ben Skilbeck said, “The month of December is characterised by a significant lull in activity and the preliminary index results have likely been influenced by some more volatile Melbourne and Perth estimates. We expect to get better clarity on the monthly movements as more information is reported.”

“Sydney currently has the largest volume of reported sales in December. In seasonally-adjusted terms, Sydney dwelling values rose by 0.4 per cent in the month of December. In the December quarter, Sydney dwelling values are up a total of 0.7 per cent (s.a.)” Mr Skilbeck said.

RP Data’s Tim Lawless observed that rental markets continued to strengthen in December.

“Weekly rents across the capital cities were up 1.0 per cent over the December quarter and are now 6.3 per cent higher than at the same time last year.”

“These higher rental rates combined with the slide in property values have improved investors’ yields. The average capital city dwelling is now offering a gross rental return of 4.6 per cent after a consistent trend upwards since mid-2010 when the typical capital city dwelling was yielding just 4.1 per cent. Darwin and Canberra are the highest yielding locations for property investors while Hobart, Brisbane, and Sydney provide gross yields that are better than average,” Mr Lawless said.

On the outlook for the year ahead, Rismark’s Ben Skilbeck commented, “We expect that the RBA’s interest rate cuts in the final two months of 2011 will lend further momentum to housing activity as transaction volumes pick up over February and March after the seasonally slow months of December and January. If financial market pricing for substantial additional RBA rate cuts proves accurate, we could see a stronger-than-expected bounce-back in housing conditions.”

“Housing affordability in Australia has experienced a striking improvement in recent times. While disposable household incomes on a per household basis rose by five per cent over the year to September 2011, Australian dwelling values have declined by 3.4 per cent since September 2010. As a result of the RBA’s rate cuts borrowers can now get fixed- and variable-rate home loans as low as 5.9 per cent and 6.14 per cent. Rismark’s research shows that disposable incomes per household have risen about 15 per cent further than Australian dwelling values since the end of 2003. This helps account for the decline in Rismark’s national dwelling price-to-income ratio, which is as low as its been since 2003” Mr Skilbeck said.

RP Data’s Tim Lawless added, “While global uncertainty and a stagnant local labour market could weigh on the consumer’s mindset, we are nevertheless observing improvements in monthly housing finance commitments. RP Data’s leading indicators on average selling times and vendor discounts are also starting to look healthier. There is no doubt that additional interest rate relief in 2012 would afford a very welcome cushion to the housing market.”

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Australia’s still raising the real estate roof

raising the roof thumb Australias still raising the real estate roof

AUSTRALIAN housing markets displayed a generally resilient performance in 2011, reflecting the inherent security of residential real estate in this country, particularly when compared with housing markets in similar open-market economies.

The year was always set to be a period of correction for Australia’s housing markets following the unsustainable growth in house prices recorded through 2009 and 2010.

Between January 2009 and June 2010, Melbourne’s quarterly median house price rose by nearly 30 per cent, with Sydney’s up by almost 20 per cent over the same period. All other capitals also recorded big rises in house prices over those 18 months.

Housing affordability crashed by the end of 2010, with surging house prices and rising interest rates combining to send buyers into hibernation.

Australian Property Monitors data has revealed that capital city housing markets have generally performed encouragingly in 2011 despite the pressure on housing affordability generated in 2010 and a mixed economic performance in 2011.

The national median price for houses over the year to October 2011 fell by just 1 per cent compared with the previous year, with median unit prices rising by 1.2 per cent over the year. The 2011 result follows a 17 per cent rise in the national median house price over the year to October 2010 and a 12.2 per cent rise in the median unit price over the same period.

The best capital city performers were Melbourne and Sydney, where annual median house prices rose by 1 per cent. Darwin and Adelaide house prices were flat and Hobart down 1.5 per cent.

The worst performers over the year were Brisbane and Perth, where annual median house prices fell by 3.5 and 4.75 per cent respectively.

The unit market clearly outperformed the housing market over the year to October 2011, with Sydney recording median unit price growth of 2 per cent followed by Melbourne and Darwin up by 1 per cent. Brisbane and Perth were again the underperformers, with annual unit prices falling by 1.3 per cent and 3.5 per cent respectively.

Bureau of Statistics data confirms the solid performance by Australian housing markets in 2011, with the number of owner-occupier housing loans rising by 2.4 per cent over the 10 months ending October compared with the same period in 2010.

New South Wales was the best performer with an increase of 8 per cent, with Western Australia surprisingly in second place with growth in home loans of 7 per cent over the year, courtesy of a surge in the past three months – indicating perhaps growing late-year momentum in that market.

By contrast, the number of home loans approved in Queensland in the year to October fell by 8.4 per cent compared with the same period in 2010.

The nature and strength of Australian housing markets in 2011 was always to be determined by the underlying supply and demand characteristics of individual markets and the strength of national and local economies.

In addition to the affordability barriers created by the prices surge and interest rate rises of 2009 and 2010, housing markets have had to encounter unexpected headwinds in 2011. The impact of the central Queensland and Brisbane floods was not restricted to the local housing markets. National economic output was affected through reduced coal exports and the cost of the reconstruction levy. Higher prices for fruit and vegetables also affected household budgets nationally.

The impact of catastrophic natural disasters on the national psyche and confidence cannot be underestimated, particularly given Australia’s recent propensity for financial conservatism, especially when it comes to buying or borrowing.

The Japanese earthquake and associated tsunami in March also contributed to lower economic growth and reduced consumer confidence.

Stalling economic growth in 2011 was also a product of continued mixed performances by various industry sectors, particularly retail, manufacturing, tourism and construction. As a consequence, all capitals recorded rises in unemployment through mid-year. All these factors combined to subdue consumer capacity and confidence and consequently dampen home buying activity through 2011.

Most Australian capital city housing markets are, however, set to record growth in median prices over 2012 as the national economy gathers strength. The Australian economy is primed to expand strongly on the back of a significant resources boom with the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development predicting gross domestic product will increase by 4 per cent over the year.

Melbourne, Adelaide and Hobart will be the underperformers in 2012, with median house price growth of between zero and 5 per cent.

Melbourne’s balanced housing supply and demand mix offers buyers a wide choice and it remains the most tenant-friendly capital city rental market. Affordability barriers, however, remain for home buyers.

With the Victorian economy showing signs of running out of puff, particularly as the recent construction boom abates, the housing market is set to drift sideways though 2012. The possibility remains of some growth in median house prices by the end of 2012 as the impact of a strong national economy filters through.

Dr Andrew Wilson is senior economist for Australian Property Monitors.

Source: BusinessDay

www.news.domain.com.au

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Superannuation tax rule eased to allow upgrades to property

Supperannuation thumb Superannuation tax rule eased to allow upgrades to propertyINVESTORS will be allowed to improve properties in their self-managed superannuation funds, following a tax office move to abolish a ruling that banned the practice when money had been borrowed to buy the property.

Investors have always been allowed to maintain their properties, but they were banned from changing them because it would negate the concept of the "single acquirable asset" that the Australian Taxation Office had come up with to more clearly identify assets in SMSFs.

Ken Reiss, a director at accounting firm Chan & Naylor, said the new ruling was a "huge win" and would turn around a situation where investors had lost the desire to use their SMSF to use debt to buy property.

He said the previous rules meant, for instance, that "if an SMSF had used debt to buy a property in Queensland that was destroyed in the recent floods, the insurance proceeds could only be used to pay down debt rather than rebuild".

"In that case, the investor would be left with a block of land that they had no option but to sell" because any reconstruction, even an identical one, would be classed as a new asset.

The new ruling still insists that the improvements be paid for by cash resources in the SMSF rather than by borrowing.

The draft ruling will not, however, allow SMSF investors to buy and bulldoze houses and put up units using borrowings, for example. Allowable changes include pools, extensions and bigger kitchens, but they must not "fundamentally change" the property.

It also gives owners more room to move when buying a rundown property that needs more than maintenance, although, again, the new work cannot be financed by borrowing.

The decision caps a succession of policies that used to allow borrowing to buy property in super funds until June 1999, which was then banned except for existing arrangements until September 2007. The ATO brought in the no-improvements rule last year.

Story by Andrew Main, source: www.theaustralian.com.au

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Death of the Australian Dream as pets pay the price

Pet ownership thumb Death of the Australian Dream as pets pay the priceIt’s not just houses among gum trees on ¼ acre blocks under threat from the supposed death of the Australian Dream; a report shows man’s best friend is also victim to a shift in where and how we live.

Dog and cat ownership is down across Australia, according to a report from the Australian Companion Animal Council that found high-density living, changing lifestyles and government legislation to blame.

The ACAC paper found that in the past decade Australia’s dog population has decreased by at least 14per cent and its cat population has dropped by about 10 per cent, as latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows a decline in the rate of home ownership and rise human population.

Queensland figures from the Office of Economic and Statistical Research reflected the national downturn in pet ownership, with dog ownership in the state falling by 2.1 per cent from 2008 to 2010 as cats dropped by 1.4per cent.

The ACAC paper found slightly more than half of the state’s households accommodated cats and/or dogs in 2010.

And though pooches were more popular than pussies overall, Brisbane was among the survey regions with the lowest proportion of households with dogs.

Speaking from the inaugural Putting Pets Back Into Our Lives thinktank in Sydney, ACAC president Kersti Seksel said the steady decline in pet ownership had brought a $6.02billion pet-care industry to its knees.

But it wasn’t just commerce at risk as communities without pets were worse off as well, Ms Seksel said.

“There’s been lots of research showing pets are not just good for an individual’s physical health and mental health – if you own a dog for instance, you’re less likely to be lonely and more likely to get physical exercise – but you’re also more likely to interact with your community,” she said.

“All pets are down, but we’re focusing particularly on a decline in cat and dog ownership because there’s a lot of research that demonstrates the valuable relationships they share with owners.”

Ms Seksel said the costs associated with maintaining pets, difficulty in finding care during holidays, time constraints and moving to rented accommodation, particularly apartments, were the most common reasons why people no longer included animals in their households.

“There’s a perception that renting or apartment living don’t work with owning a dog but that’s just not true,” she said.

“If you look at America, you see that dog ownership in small space is fine as long as you’re caring properly for the pet.”

A change in Australia’s favourite breed of dog reflected a shift to inner-city living Ms Seksel said, with the diminutive Maltese ousting the German Shepherd from the top spot that the larger dog enjoyed 10 years ago.

Ms Seksel said the 150 participants in today’s Putting Pets Back Into Our Lives conference, including the RSPCA, hoped to find suitable solutions to the problem.

“Whether it’s changing the laws and regulations around pet ownership or educating the public about finding the right pet for them, we want people to realise just how good owning a pet can be,” Ms Seksel said.

Story source: www.domain.com.au

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New home sales drop the most in five years

new home sales thumb New home sales drop the most in five yearsNew home sales posted their biggest monthly fall in five years in June, amid weakening confidence in the economy and worries about higher interest rates.

New house sales dropped sank 17 per cent in flood-disrupted Queensland and 10 per cent in Victoria. New South Wales saw a more modest drop of 1.8 per cent for the month.

Nationwide, new home sales slumped 8.7 per cent, seasonally adjusted, in June to about 8000 deals, according to the Housing Industry Association – JELD-WEN. June’s drop was the steepest monthly decline since May 2006 and followed a 0.2 per cent slip in May.

“Evidence is mounting that weakness in the new home sector is accelerating even with interest rates on hold,” said HIA chief economist Dr Harley Dale.

The new home sales dive is the latest sign of tough times for the housing market, with auction clearance rates in Melbourne and Sydney hovering in the 50 – 60 per cent range, down on last year.

Borrowers with variable mortgage rates will also be watching closing the Reserve Bank’s monthly interest rate meeting tomorrow, with the ANZ among banks predicting a rate rise. Most commentators, though, tip the RBA will leave its cash rate on hold.

Home prices have also fallen, posting a 2 per cent fall in the year to June, according to RP Data-Rismark.

"There has been widespread anecdotal evidence for some time that new home demand hit a wall in mid-2011 and today’s new home sales figures unfortunately confirm that situation," HIA’s Dr Dale said.

Among other states, new home sales fell 6.3 per cent in Western Australia and were flat in South Australia for June, HIA said

Source: Chris Zappone www.domain.com.au

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Stamp duty rise to flatten market

Stamp duty thumb Stamp duty rise to flatten marketThe decision by the State Government to remove the stamp duty home concession will flatten the struggling Queensland residential property market and cost homebuyers thousands of dollars, according to the Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ).

The government announced today that from 1 August the concession which non-first home buyers receive when buying a new or established home as their principal place of residence will be removed. For a median-priced house in Brisbane, homebuyers will now be hit with more than $15,000 in stamp duty – an increase of more than $7,000.

First home buyer stamp duty concessions will remain for homes up to $500,000.

The government also announced a $10,000 grant for new-home builds. The Queensland Building Boost grant will be available for all people building, or buying, a new-build home or unit priced up to $600,000 between 1 August 2011 and 31 January 2012.

REIQ chairman Pamela Bennett said while any incentive to increase housing supply and create jobs in the construction sector is a positive for the economy, the removal of the stamp duty concession for non-first home buyers will wreak havoc on the Queensland property market.

About 60 per cent of all dwellings financed in Queensland in April were to non-first home buyers.
“The market is already the lowest it has been in many years and today’s announcement will just make it worse,” she said.

“The government is obviously trying to fill the financial void that has been left by the weak property market, and the subsequent lower stamp duty receipts given the marked reduction in property sales over the past 18 months.

“A better way to stimulate the economy would have been to provide financial incentives for all buyers of all types of properties which in turn would have increased activity and therefore helped the government’s bottom-line.”

According to the REIQ, the $10,000 grant for new-builds might provide a much-needed shot in the arm for the building sector but its value will be greatly diminished by the increased rates of stamp duty that non-first home buyers will have to pay. It is also unlikely to assist more first home buyers into the market.

“There has been a huge reduction in first home buyer activity over the past year and this grant is unlikely to change that state of affairs to any significant degree,” she said.

“While the grant means first-timers will be able to access $17,000, as well as stamp duty concessions, purchasing a new-build home or unit continues to be out of the financial reach of most prospective homeowners.”

When the First Home Owners Boost was available in late 2008 and throughout 2009, 74 per cent of first home buyers purchased an established home despite $21,000 being available for constructing a new home or the purchase of a new-build.

Quote from Mike Andrew, “It’s lucky we don’t pay our Qld politicians for their brains, the property market is already in a slump and the impost of new taxes is not going to help the industry nor those people who are trying to get into the market. Why didn’t Qld look at the Victorian governments stand on stamp duty and abolish this tax which by the way, was supposed to have been removed when GST was introduced.

Like the good ship Bounty, we have our own Captain Bligh, who by her and her governments greed are destroying industry and small business in this state, the sooner an election is held to get rid of this government the better.”

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Stamp duty cut for first homebuyers in Vic

Stamp duty thumb Stamp duty cut for first homebuyers in VicFirst homebuyers across Victoria will save thousands of dollars in stamp duty as the state government makes good on its promise to slash the tax in its first budget.

The government will proceed with its commitment to slash stamp duty by 20 per cent for first home buyers on properties valued less than $600,000 from July 1.

This equates to almost $5,800 in stamp duty savings on the median house price of $565,000.

Real Estate Institute of Victoria chief executive Enzo Raimondo hailed the move as the most significant attempt to help people buy their first home in 10 years.

"Over the last decade there has been a bit of tinkering by the previous government but not much relief," he said.

"It’s a first genuine step to address the affordability issue for first homebuyers."

Before the last election, the coalition promised to halve stamp duty for first homebuyers by 2014.

Mr Raimondo said the government should also overhaul the stamp duty rates.

"Stamp duty needs to be reviewed again and significant changes made because it is double what it was 10 years ago," he said.

Cutting stamp duty will impact on a major source of revenue for the government, with Treasury predicting before the last election the government would collect $3.8 billion from the tax in 2011-12.

Treasurer Kim Wells delivers his first budget on Tuesday.

The Victorian Employers’ Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VECCI) is calling on the government to introduce performance pay incentives for teachers.

VECCI senior policy manager Andrew Rimington said with the flat-lining of Victorian students’ year nine national testing results, lifting the standard of teaching could help turn this trend around.

He said the business sector was concerned too many students were leaving school before finishing year 12.

Mr Rimington said poor numeracy and literacy was particularly an issue in areas of high social disadvantage.

"One of the things we can do is to reward teachers who are performing better and getting results with their students," he told AAP.

"Performance pay is something that’s accepted in the corporate world and the public service and it is worth a try to see how that sort of approach could in fact see changed behaviour."

He said a trial incentive pay program for teachers, along with 1000 retraining scholarships over four years for areas of teacher shortages like maths, would cost up to $16 million over four years.

Mr Rimington said bonuses could be paid to attract teachers to disadvantaged areas.

Low levels of literacy and numeracy among workers was slowing productivity, he said.

"We have got to put in a circuit breaker somewhere to start to address these crucial issues for the existing stock of students in schools now," he said.

© 2011 AAP

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Reserve Bank Interest Rate Announcement

Reserve Bank thumb Reserve Bank Interest Rate AnnouncementIt was a case of steadying the ship as expected when the Reserve Bank met today and decided to keep interest rates on hold at 4.75 per cent.

The move comes on the back of comments by the Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens last month that rates would stay on hold in the near future.

Each 0.25 per cent interest rate rise adds another $60 to the monthly cost of an average Australian mortgage.

The official interest rate is currently 4.75 per cent. Mortgage holders on variable interest rates are being charged a standard variable rate of about 7.83 per cent by their lenders.

By keeping rates on hold the Reserve Bank has presented borrowers with an opportunity to beat their lenders at their own game, and pay more off their mortgages before the next rate rise, which is now expected to be quite late in the year.

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Harcourts and Landmark team up to take on Elders

Harcourts thumb Harcourts and Landmark team up to take on EldersThe Harcourts property franchise will team up with rural services business Landmark in a bid to challenge the dominance of the Elders real estate brand.

The deal, announced yesterday, will cover both companies’ regional and rural real estate operations by April in the joint venture, Landmark Harcourts.

The new business will include some of Harcourts’ 280 Australian offices and Landmark’s 125 rural real estate branches and is expected to turn over some $20 billion in property sales a year.

The existing Landmark real estate business will be rebranded as a part of an equal-party joint venture that will be ”integrated into the greater Harcourts family,” Harcourts Australasian head Bryan Thomson said.

Since its formation in New Zealand in 1888, Harcourts has established a network of 640 real estate franchises in Australia, Indonesia, South Africa and China.

Landmark’s rural services business operates from 400 locations in Australia.

The new business will incorporate the companies’ rural and regional operations and leave Harcourts’ metropolitan business unchanged.

Story by Simon Johanson www.smh.com.au

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